TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Andrew Nembhard

PTS

OVER 19.50
Medium Confidence +160

Vegas Line

19.50

Player Average

16.10

Season: 17.20 | L5: 15.00

Deviation

+3.40

60% signal

Sample Size

15

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 3.40 points BELOW where this player typically performs (16.10)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 16.10

Weighted 50/50: Season (17.20) + Last 5 games (15.00)

✓
Vegas line is 19.50

Significant 3.40-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 15 games, std dev 6.62

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 17.20
Last 5 Games Average 15.00
Vegas Line 19.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 08, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 08, 10:52 AM