TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Herbert Jones

PTS

UNDER 6.50
Medium Confidence +150

Vegas Line

6.50

Player Average

8.75

Season: 9.50 | L5: 8.00

Deviation

-2.25

60% signal

Sample Size

16

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 2.25 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (8.75)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

✓
Player averages 8.75

Weighted 50/50: Season (9.50) + Last 5 games (8.00)

✓
Vegas line is 6.50

Significant 2.25-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 16 games, std dev 4.15

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 9.50
Last 5 Games Average 8.00
Vegas Line 6.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 08, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 08, 10:52 AM