TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Jose Alvarado

PTS

UNDER 6.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

6.50

Player Average

10.04

Season: 9.09 | L5: 11.00

Deviation

-3.54

62% signal

Sample Size

23

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 3.54 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (10.04)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

✓
Player averages 10.04

Weighted 50/50: Season (9.09) + Last 5 games (11.00)

✓
Vegas line is 6.50

Significant 3.54-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 23 games, std dev 5.87

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 9.09
Last 5 Games Average 11.00
Vegas Line 6.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 08, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 08, 10:52 AM