TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Herbert Jones

REB

UNDER 2.50
Medium Confidence -114

Vegas Line

2.50

Player Average

3.88

Season: 3.75 | L5: 4.00

Deviation

-1.38

60% signal

Sample Size

16

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 1.38 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (3.88)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

✓
Player averages 3.88

Weighted 50/50: Season (3.75) + Last 5 games (4.00)

✓
Vegas line is 2.50

Moderate 1.38-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 16 games, std dev 2.61

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 3.75
Last 5 Games Average 4.00
Vegas Line 2.50
Bookmaker

fanduel

Game Time

Dec 08, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 08, 10:52 AM