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Trey Murphy III

FG3M

OVER 3.50
Medium Confidence +155

Vegas Line

3.50

Player Average

2.61

Season: 2.82 | L5: 2.40

Deviation

+0.89

60% signal

Sample Size

22

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 0.89 points BELOW where this player typically performs (2.61)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 2.61

Weighted 50/50: Season (2.82) + Last 5 games (2.40)

✓
Vegas line is 3.50

Small 0.89-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 22 games, std dev 1.67

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 2.82
Last 5 Games Average 2.40
Vegas Line 3.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 08, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 08, 10:52 AM