"Always take the free points"
AST
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 1.06 points BELOW where this player typically performs (2.44)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (2.29) + Last 5 games (2.60)
Moderate 1.06-point gap
Based on 21 games, std dev 1.28
draftkings
Dec 08, 06:10 PM
Dec 08, 04:22 PM