"Always take the free points"
AST
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 1.33 points BELOW where this player typically performs (3.17)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (3.93) + Last 5 games (2.40)
Moderate 1.33-point gap
Based on 15 games, std dev 1.65
bovada
Dec 08, 06:40 PM
Dec 08, 04:22 PM