TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Mike Conley

PTS

OVER 6.50
Medium Confidence +100

Vegas Line

6.50

Player Average

5.06

Season: 5.52 | L5: 4.60

Deviation

+1.44

60% signal

Sample Size

23

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.44 points BELOW where this player typically performs (5.06)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 5.06

Weighted 50/50: Season (5.52) + Last 5 games (4.60)

Vegas line is 6.50

Moderate 1.44-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 23 games, std dev 2.65

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 5.52
Last 5 Games Average 4.60
Vegas Line 6.50
Bookmaker

betonlineag

Game Time

Dec 08, 06:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 08, 04:22 PM