TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Mike Conley

REB

OVER 2.50
Medium Confidence +125

Vegas Line

2.50

Player Average

1.81

Season: 1.83 | L5: 1.80

Deviation

+0.69

63% signal

Sample Size

23

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 0.69 points BELOW where this player typically performs (1.81)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 1.81

Weighted 50/50: Season (1.83) + Last 5 games (1.80)

Vegas line is 2.50

Small 0.69-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 23 games, std dev 1.01

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 1.83
Last 5 Games Average 1.80
Vegas Line 2.50
Bookmaker

fanatics

Game Time

Dec 08, 06:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 08, 04:22 PM