TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Daniel Gafford

AST

UNDER 0.50
Medium Confidence +120

Vegas Line

0.50

Player Average

1.19

Season: 0.98 | L5: 1.40

Deviation

-0.69

62% signal

Sample Size

44

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 0.69 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (1.19)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

Player averages 1.19

Weighted 50/50: Season (0.98) + Last 5 games (1.40)

Vegas line is 0.50

Small 0.69-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 44 games, std dev 1.10

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 0.98
Last 5 Games Average 1.40
Vegas Line 0.50
Bookmaker

betmgm

Game Time

Mar 05, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Mar 05, 04:51 PM