TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

Ace Bailey

PTS

OVER 18.50
Medium Confidence -109

Vegas Line

18.50

Player Average

13.03

Season: 12.05 | L5: 14.00

Deviation

+5.47

67% signal

Sample Size

55

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 5.47 points BELOW where this player typically performs (13.03)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 13.03

Weighted 50/50: Season (12.05) + Last 5 games (14.00)

Vegas line is 18.50

Significant 5.47-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 55 games, std dev 6.35

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 12.05
Last 5 Games Average 14.00
Vegas Line 18.50
Bookmaker

williamhill_us

Game Time

Mar 05, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Mar 05, 04:51 PM