TakeFreePoints.com

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Will Riley

PTS

OVER 16.50
Medium Confidence -112

Vegas Line

16.50

Player Average

11.65

Season: 7.91 | L5: 15.40

Deviation

+4.85

65% signal

Sample Size

53

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 4.85 points BELOW where this player typically performs (11.65)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 11.65

Weighted 50/50: Season (7.91) + Last 5 games (15.40)

✓
Vegas line is 16.50

Significant 4.85-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 53 games, std dev 6.17

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 7.91
Last 5 Games Average 15.40
Vegas Line 16.50
Bookmaker

draftkings

Game Time

Mar 05, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Mar 05, 04:51 PM