TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Will Riley

REB

OVER 5.50
High Confidence +105

Vegas Line

5.50

Player Average

3.43

Season: 2.45 | L5: 4.40

Deviation

+2.07

71% signal

Sample Size

53

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 2.07 points BELOW where this player typically performs (3.43)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 3.43

Weighted 50/50: Season (2.45) + Last 5 games (4.40)

✓
Vegas line is 5.50

Significant 2.07-point gap

✓
High confidence signal

Based on 53 games, std dev 1.98

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 2.45
Last 5 Games Average 4.40
Vegas Line 5.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Mar 05, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Mar 05, 04:51 PM