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Pat Spencer

PTS

OVER 9.50
Medium Confidence -110

Vegas Line

9.50

Player Average

6.36

Season: 6.31 | L5: 6.40

Deviation

+3.14

60% signal

Sample Size

45

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 3.14 points BELOW where this player typically performs (6.36)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 6.36

Weighted 50/50: Season (6.31) + Last 5 games (6.40)

✓
Vegas line is 9.50

Significant 3.14-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 45 games, std dev 5.90

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 6.31
Last 5 Games Average 6.40
Vegas Line 9.50
Bookmaker

betmgm

Game Time

Mar 05, 06:40 PM

Analysis Created

Mar 05, 04:51 PM