TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Jabari Smith Jr.

PTS

UNDER 13.50
Medium Confidence -125

Vegas Line

13.50

Player Average

16.95

Season: 15.49 | L5: 18.40

Deviation

-3.45

63% signal

Sample Size

57

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 3.45 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (16.95)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

✓
Player averages 16.95

Weighted 50/50: Season (15.49) + Last 5 games (18.40)

✓
Vegas line is 13.50

Significant 3.45-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 57 games, std dev 5.25

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 15.49
Last 5 Games Average 18.40
Vegas Line 13.50
Bookmaker

williamhill_us

Game Time

Mar 05, 06:40 PM

Analysis Created

Mar 05, 04:51 PM