TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Reed Sheppard

FG3M

UNDER 2.50
Medium Confidence -106

Vegas Line

2.50

Player Average

3.80

Season: 2.60 | L5: 5.00

Deviation

-1.30

66% signal

Sample Size

60

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 1.30 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (3.80)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

✓
Player averages 3.80

Weighted 50/50: Season (2.60) + Last 5 games (5.00)

✓
Vegas line is 2.50

Moderate 1.30-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 60 games, std dev 1.60

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 2.60
Last 5 Games Average 5.00
Vegas Line 2.50
Bookmaker

draftkings

Game Time

Mar 05, 06:40 PM

Analysis Created

Mar 05, 04:51 PM