"Always take the free points"
PTS
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 5.12 points BELOW where this player typically performs (13.38)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (13.36) + Last 5 games (13.40)
Significant 5.12-point gap
Based on 14 games, std dev 7.23
draftkings
Mar 06, 08:10 PM
Mar 06, 11:13 AM