"Always take the free points"
AST
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 0.96 points BELOW where this player typically performs (1.54)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (1.69) + Last 5 games (1.40)
Small 0.96-point gap
Based on 51 games, std dev 1.28
betmgm
Mar 06, 08:40 PM
Mar 06, 11:13 AM