"Always take the free points"
FG3M
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 0.72 points BELOW where this player typically performs (0.78)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (0.95) + Last 5 games (0.60)
Small 0.72-point gap
Based on 44 games, std dev 0.90
draftkings
Mar 06, 06:10 PM
Mar 06, 04:45 PM