TakeFreePoints.com

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John Konchar

AST

OVER 2.50
Medium Confidence -165

Vegas Line

2.50

Player Average

1.67

Season: 1.54 | L5: 1.80

Deviation

+0.83

63% signal

Sample Size

41

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 0.83 points BELOW where this player typically performs (1.67)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 1.67

Weighted 50/50: Season (1.54) + Last 5 games (1.80)

Vegas line is 2.50

Small 0.83-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 41 games, std dev 1.25

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 1.54
Last 5 Games Average 1.80
Vegas Line 2.50
Bookmaker

betmgm

Game Time

Mar 07, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Mar 07, 10:52 AM