TakeFreePoints.com

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John Konchar

PTS

OVER 5.50
Medium Confidence -110

Vegas Line

5.50

Player Average

2.87

Season: 3.15 | L5: 2.60

Deviation

+2.63

66% signal

Sample Size

41

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 2.63 points BELOW where this player typically performs (2.87)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 2.87

Weighted 50/50: Season (3.15) + Last 5 games (2.60)

✓
Vegas line is 5.50

Significant 2.63-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 41 games, std dev 3.17

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 3.15
Last 5 Games Average 2.60
Vegas Line 5.50
Bookmaker

betmgm

Game Time

Mar 07, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Mar 07, 10:52 AM