TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Gui Santos

FG3M

OVER 1.50
Medium Confidence -104

Vegas Line

1.50

Player Average

0.98

Season: 0.96 | L5: 1.00

Deviation

+0.52

60% signal

Sample Size

51

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 0.52 points BELOW where this player typically performs (0.98)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 0.98

Weighted 50/50: Season (0.96) + Last 5 games (1.00)

✓
Vegas line is 1.50

Small 0.52-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 51 games, std dev 1.03

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 0.96
Last 5 Games Average 1.00
Vegas Line 1.50
Bookmaker

draftkings

Game Time

Mar 07, 07:40 PM

Analysis Created

Mar 07, 10:52 AM