"Always take the free points"
AST
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 0.95 points BELOW where this player typically performs (2.55)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (2.91) + Last 5 games (2.20)
Small 0.95-point gap
Based on 54 games, std dev 1.84
bovada
May 06, 08:40 PM
May 05, 04:44 PM