TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Mike Conley

PTS

UNDER 4.50
Medium Confidence -109

Vegas Line

4.50

Player Average

6.47

Season: 4.54 | L5: 8.40

Deviation

-1.97

61% signal

Sample Size

54

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 1.97 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (6.47)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

✓
Player averages 6.47

Weighted 50/50: Season (4.54) + Last 5 games (8.40)

✓
Vegas line is 4.50

Moderate 1.97-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 54 games, std dev 3.42

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 4.54
Last 5 Games Average 8.40
Vegas Line 4.50
Bookmaker

draftkings

Game Time

May 06, 08:40 PM

Analysis Created

May 05, 04:44 PM