TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Ajay Mitchell

PTS

OVER 15.50
Medium Confidence -109

Vegas Line

15.50

Player Average

11.49

Season: 13.58 | L5: 9.40

Deviation

+4.01

66% signal

Sample Size

57

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 4.01 points BELOW where this player typically performs (11.49)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 11.49

Weighted 50/50: Season (13.58) + Last 5 games (9.40)

✓
Vegas line is 15.50

Significant 4.01-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 57 games, std dev 4.90

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 13.58
Last 5 Games Average 9.40
Vegas Line 15.50
Bookmaker

draftkings

Game Time

May 07, 08:40 PM

Analysis Created

May 06, 10:43 AM