TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Ausar Thompson

REB

OVER 6.50
Medium Confidence -112

Vegas Line

6.50

Player Average

5.06

Season: 5.73 | L5: 4.40

Deviation

+1.44

61% signal

Sample Size

73

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.44 points BELOW where this player typically performs (5.06)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 5.06

Weighted 50/50: Season (5.73) + Last 5 games (4.40)

✓
Vegas line is 6.50

Moderate 1.44-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 73 games, std dev 2.56

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 5.73
Last 5 Games Average 4.40
Vegas Line 6.50
Bookmaker

fanduel

Game Time

May 09, 02:10 PM

Analysis Created

May 08, 10:41 AM