TakeFreePoints.com

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Marcus Smart

PTS

OVER 11.50
Medium Confidence -108

Vegas Line

11.50

Player Average

7.77

Season: 9.34 | L5: 6.20

Deviation

+3.73

63% signal

Sample Size

62

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 3.73 points BELOW where this player typically performs (7.77)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 7.77

Weighted 50/50: Season (9.34) + Last 5 games (6.20)

✓
Vegas line is 11.50

Significant 3.73-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 62 games, std dev 5.47

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 9.34
Last 5 Games Average 6.20
Vegas Line 11.50
Bookmaker

draftkings

Game Time

May 09, 07:40 PM

Analysis Created

May 08, 10:41 AM