TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Paul George

PTS

OVER 17.50
Medium Confidence +180

Vegas Line

17.50

Player Average

14.00

Season: 14.00 | L5: 14.00

Deviation

+3.50

66% signal

Sample Size

5

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 3.50 points BELOW where this player typically performs (14.00)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 14.00

Weighted 50/50: Season (14.00) + Last 5 games (14.00)

✓
Vegas line is 17.50

Significant 3.50-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 5 games, std dev 4.34

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 14.00
Last 5 Games Average 14.00
Vegas Line 17.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 10:36 AM