TakeFreePoints.com

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Marvin Bagley III

PTS

OVER 16.50
High Confidence +190

Vegas Line

16.50

Player Average

10.00

Season: 8.60 | L5: 11.40

Deviation

+6.50

74% signal

Sample Size

15

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 6.50 points BELOW where this player typically performs (10.00)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 10.00

Weighted 50/50: Season (8.60) + Last 5 games (11.40)

✓
Vegas line is 16.50

Significant 6.50-point gap

✓
High confidence signal

Based on 15 games, std dev 5.24

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 8.60
Last 5 Games Average 11.40
Vegas Line 16.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 10:36 AM