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Marvin Bagley III

FG3M

OVER 0.50
Medium Confidence +280

Vegas Line

0.50

Player Average

0.20

Season: 0.20 | L5: 0.20

Deviation

+0.30

65% signal

Sample Size

15

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 0.30 points BELOW where this player typically performs (0.20)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 0.20

Weighted 50/50: Season (0.20) + Last 5 games (0.20)

✓
Vegas line is 0.50

Small 0.30-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 15 games, std dev 0.40

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 0.20
Last 5 Games Average 0.20
Vegas Line 0.50
Bookmaker

betmgm

Game Time

Dec 02, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 10:36 AM