TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Santi Aldama

AST

UNDER 2.50
Medium Confidence +130

Vegas Line

2.50

Player Average

3.80

Season: 3.00 | L5: 4.60

Deviation

-1.30

66% signal

Sample Size

21

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 1.30 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (3.80)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

✓
Player averages 3.80

Weighted 50/50: Season (3.00) + Last 5 games (4.60)

✓
Vegas line is 2.50

Moderate 1.30-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 21 games, std dev 1.54

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 3.00
Last 5 Games Average 4.60
Vegas Line 2.50
Bookmaker

fanduel

Game Time

Dec 02, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 10:36 AM