"Always take the free points"
AST
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 0.77 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (2.28)
→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER
Weighted 50/50: Season (2.55) + Last 5 games (2.00)
Small 0.77-point gap
Based on 20 games, std dev 1.53
williamhill_us
Dec 02, 10:10 PM
Dec 02, 10:36 AM