TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

Draymond Green

PTS

OVER 11.50
Medium Confidence +170

Vegas Line

11.50

Player Average

8.50

Season: 8.00 | L5: 9.00

Deviation

+3.00

64% signal

Sample Size

18

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 3.00 points BELOW where this player typically performs (8.50)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 8.50

Weighted 50/50: Season (8.00) + Last 5 games (9.00)

Vegas line is 11.50

Significant 3.00-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 18 games, std dev 4.06

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 8.00
Last 5 Games Average 9.00
Vegas Line 11.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 10:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 10:36 AM