TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Chet Holmgren

PTS

OVER 20.50
Medium Confidence +215

Vegas Line

20.50

Player Average

16.12

Season: 18.24 | L5: 14.00

Deviation

+4.38

62% signal

Sample Size

17

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 4.38 points BELOW where this player typically performs (16.12)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 16.12

Weighted 50/50: Season (18.24) + Last 5 games (14.00)

✓
Vegas line is 20.50

Significant 4.38-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 17 games, std dev 7.17

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 18.24
Last 5 Games Average 14.00
Vegas Line 20.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 10:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 10:36 AM