TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

Chet Holmgren

REB

OVER 10.50
High Confidence +165

Vegas Line

10.50

Player Average

7.80

Season: 8.00 | L5: 7.60

Deviation

+2.70

71% signal

Sample Size

17

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 2.70 points BELOW where this player typically performs (7.80)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 7.80

Weighted 50/50: Season (8.00) + Last 5 games (7.60)

Vegas line is 10.50

Significant 2.70-point gap

High confidence signal

Based on 17 games, std dev 2.54

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 8.00
Last 5 Games Average 7.60
Vegas Line 10.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 10:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 10:36 AM