TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Buddy Hield

FG3M

OVER 2.50
Medium Confidence +185

Vegas Line

2.50

Player Average

1.67

Season: 1.33 | L5: 2.00

Deviation

+0.83

60% signal

Sample Size

21

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 0.83 points BELOW where this player typically performs (1.67)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 1.67

Weighted 50/50: Season (1.33) + Last 5 games (2.00)

✓
Vegas line is 2.50

Small 0.83-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 21 games, std dev 1.58

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 1.33
Last 5 Games Average 2.00
Vegas Line 2.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 10:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 10:36 AM