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Will Richard

AST

OVER 1.50
Medium Confidence +145

Vegas Line

1.50

Player Average

0.75

Season: 1.11 | L5: 0.40

Deviation

+0.75

66% signal

Sample Size

19

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 0.75 points BELOW where this player typically performs (0.75)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 0.75

Weighted 50/50: Season (1.11) + Last 5 games (0.40)

Vegas line is 1.50

Small 0.75-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 19 games, std dev 0.91

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 1.11
Last 5 Games Average 0.40
Vegas Line 1.50
Bookmaker

betmgm

Game Time

Dec 02, 10:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 10:36 AM