"Always take the free points"
AST
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 0.75 points BELOW where this player typically performs (0.75)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (1.11) + Last 5 games (0.40)
Small 0.75-point gap
Based on 19 games, std dev 0.91
betmgm
Dec 02, 10:10 PM
Dec 02, 10:36 AM