TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

Jalen Brunson

AST

OVER 7.50
Medium Confidence +185

Vegas Line

7.50

Player Average

6.02

Season: 6.24 | L5: 5.80

Deviation

+1.48

61% signal

Sample Size

17

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.48 points BELOW where this player typically performs (6.02)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 6.02

Weighted 50/50: Season (6.24) + Last 5 games (5.80)

Vegas line is 7.50

Moderate 1.48-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 17 games, std dev 2.53

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 6.24
Last 5 Games Average 5.80
Vegas Line 7.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 04:26 PM