"Always take the free points"
AST
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 1.16 points BELOW where this player typically performs (4.34)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (3.88) + Last 5 games (4.80)
Moderate 1.16-point gap
Based on 16 games, std dev 1.87
bovada
Dec 02, 07:10 PM
Dec 02, 04:26 PM