TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Julius Randle

AST

UNDER 4.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

4.50

Player Average

5.90

Season: 6.00 | L5: 5.80

Deviation

-1.40

60% signal

Sample Size

20

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 1.40 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (5.90)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

✓
Player averages 5.90

Weighted 50/50: Season (6.00) + Last 5 games (5.80)

✓
Vegas line is 4.50

Moderate 1.40-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 20 games, std dev 2.65

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 6.00
Last 5 Games Average 5.80
Vegas Line 4.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 04:26 PM