TakeFreePoints.com

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Jose Alvarado

AST

OVER 4.50
Medium Confidence +180

Vegas Line

4.50

Player Average

3.12

Season: 2.85 | L5: 3.40

Deviation

+1.38

63% signal

Sample Size

20

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.38 points BELOW where this player typically performs (3.12)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 3.12

Weighted 50/50: Season (2.85) + Last 5 games (3.40)

✓
Vegas line is 4.50

Moderate 1.38-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 20 games, std dev 2.01

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 2.85
Last 5 Games Average 3.40
Vegas Line 4.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 04:26 PM