TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Derik Queen

PTS

OVER 16.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

16.50

Player Average

11.45

Season: 11.90 | L5: 11.00

Deviation

+5.05

64% signal

Sample Size

21

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 5.05 points BELOW where this player typically performs (11.45)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 11.45

Weighted 50/50: Season (11.90) + Last 5 games (11.00)

✓
Vegas line is 16.50

Significant 5.05-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 21 games, std dev 7.10

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 11.90
Last 5 Games Average 11.00
Vegas Line 16.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 04:26 PM