TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Naz Reid

PTS

OVER 16.50
Medium Confidence +210

Vegas Line

16.50

Player Average

12.62

Season: 13.05 | L5: 12.20

Deviation

+3.88

62% signal

Sample Size

20

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 3.88 points BELOW where this player typically performs (12.62)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 12.62

Weighted 50/50: Season (13.05) + Last 5 games (12.20)

✓
Vegas line is 16.50

Significant 3.88-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 20 games, std dev 6.48

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 13.05
Last 5 Games Average 12.20
Vegas Line 16.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 04:26 PM