TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Jose Alvarado

PTS

UNDER 7.50
Medium Confidence +215

Vegas Line

7.50

Player Average

11.02

Season: 8.65 | L5: 13.40

Deviation

-3.53

61% signal

Sample Size

20

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 3.53 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (11.02)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

✓
Player averages 11.02

Weighted 50/50: Season (8.65) + Last 5 games (13.40)

✓
Vegas line is 7.50

Significant 3.53-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 20 games, std dev 6.13

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 8.65
Last 5 Games Average 13.40
Vegas Line 7.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 04:26 PM