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Trey Murphy III

REB

OVER 6.50
Medium Confidence +200

Vegas Line

6.50

Player Average

5.28

Season: 6.16 | L5: 4.40

Deviation

+1.22

60% signal

Sample Size

19

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.22 points BELOW where this player typically performs (5.28)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 5.28

Weighted 50/50: Season (6.16) + Last 5 games (4.40)

Vegas line is 6.50

Moderate 1.22-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 19 games, std dev 2.43

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 6.16
Last 5 Games Average 4.40
Vegas Line 6.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 02, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 02, 04:26 PM