TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Austin Reaves

PTS

OVER 37.50
Medium Confidence +210

Vegas Line

37.50

Player Average

30.67

Season: 28.94 | L5: 32.40

Deviation

+6.83

64% signal

Sample Size

18

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 6.83 points BELOW where this player typically performs (30.67)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 30.67

Weighted 50/50: Season (28.94) + Last 5 games (32.40)

✓
Vegas line is 37.50

Significant 6.83-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 18 games, std dev 9.37

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 28.94
Last 5 Games Average 32.40
Vegas Line 37.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM