TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Jake LaRavia

PTS

OVER 14.50
High Confidence +190

Vegas Line

14.50

Player Average

7.62

Season: 9.24 | L5: 6.00

Deviation

+6.88

70% signal

Sample Size

21

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 6.88 points BELOW where this player typically performs (7.62)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 7.62

Weighted 50/50: Season (9.24) + Last 5 games (6.00)

✓
Vegas line is 14.50

Significant 6.88-point gap

✓
High confidence signal

Based on 21 games, std dev 6.85

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 9.24
Last 5 Games Average 6.00
Vegas Line 14.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM