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Austin Reaves

FG3M

OVER 4.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

4.50

Player Average

3.44

Season: 2.89 | L5: 4.00

Deviation

+1.06

62% signal

Sample Size

18

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.06 points BELOW where this player typically performs (3.44)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 3.44

Weighted 50/50: Season (2.89) + Last 5 games (4.00)

Vegas line is 4.50

Moderate 1.06-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 18 games, std dev 1.73

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 2.89
Last 5 Games Average 4.00
Vegas Line 4.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM