"Always take the free points"
AST
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 2.25 points BELOW where this player typically performs (1.25)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (1.90) + Last 5 games (0.60)
Significant 2.25-point gap
Based on 21 games, std dev 1.69
williamhill_us
Dec 05, 06:10 PM
Dec 05, 04:31 PM