TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

Franz Wagner

AST

OVER 4.50
Medium Confidence +165

Vegas Line

4.50

Player Average

3.61

Season: 3.82 | L5: 3.40

Deviation

+0.89

60% signal

Sample Size

22

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 0.89 points BELOW where this player typically performs (3.61)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 3.61

Weighted 50/50: Season (3.82) + Last 5 games (3.40)

Vegas line is 4.50

Small 0.89-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 22 games, std dev 1.77

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 3.82
Last 5 Games Average 3.40
Vegas Line 4.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM